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$CKX Alert Recap: The $10.37 Call and a $24.74 High So Far

A time-stamped audit of GRANDMASTER-OBI’s alert, every follow-up post, and what the recorded trades show.

$CKX Alert Recap: The $10.37 Call and a $24.74 High So Far

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GRANDMASTER-OBI’s alert on $CKX went out at Mon, Nov 9, 6:48:30 AM ET: long at a stated price of $10.37, target $16.50, stop $10.22. In the alert's own minute (premarket), $CKX traded between $12.83 and $14.17 and closed the minute at $13.3328. The stated $10.37 is outside that range (−22.22% from the minute's close); it matches the previous session's last trade, $10.37 at Fri, Nov 6, 3:38 PM ET, so it reads as that earlier price rather than one available when the alert went out.

The highest price recorded after the alert, through Tue, Nov 10, 8:23 AM ET, was $24.74 in the minute beginning Mon, Nov 9, 1:12 PM ET (regular session), +138.57% from the stated $10.37 and +85.56% from $13.3328, the close of the alert's own minute.

The original alert

Posted Mon, Nov 9, 6:48:30 AM ET by GRANDMASTER-OBI: long at a stated price of $10.37, an initial target of $16.50, and a stop at $10.22. In the alert's own minute (premarket), $CKX traded between $12.83 and $14.17 and closed the minute at $13.3328. The stated $10.37 is outside that range (−22.22% from the minute's close); it matches the previous session's last trade, $10.37 at Fri, Nov 6, 3:38 PM ET, so it reads as that earlier price rather than one available when the alert went out.

The alert’s own setup notes: Setup: CKX in a downtrend, last change of character down at $10.40. | Momentum: Momentum is flat right now, watching for a push toward the upper range. | Target context: $16.50 👈, Target zone in play if momentum holds. | Risk: Scale out into strength and keep size sensible. | Stop: Below $10.22, below the equal lows, trend weakens.

Mon, Nov 9, 6:48:32 AM ET: the same alert was also posted to another channel with a stated price of $13.50, target $16.50 and a stop at $12.42.

Original $CKX alert image 1: scenario 1 base case
Original image posted with the $CKX alert at Mon, Nov 9, 6:48 AM ET (scenario 1 base case).
Original $CKX alert image 2: scenario 2 watch out
Original image posted with the $CKX alert at Mon, Nov 9, 6:48 AM ET (scenario 2 watch out).

Every follow-up, in order

1. Mon, Nov 9, 7:26 AM ET: the analyst posted PT SMASHED, saying the $16.50 target was reached and setting a new target of $19.57+, with the price at the post stated as $17.21. Price check: $16.50 first traded in the minute beginning Mon, Nov 9, 7:04 AM ET, at least 21 minutes before this post.

2. Mon, Nov 9, 12:21 PM ET: the analyst posted PT SMASHED, saying the $19.57 target was reached and setting a new target of $22.08+, with the price at the post stated as $18.70 (also posted to 1 other channel). Price check: $19.57 first traded in the minute beginning Mon, Nov 9, 12:20 PM ET, the minute just before this post.

The bull case

  • The analyst’s latest stated target is $22.08.
  • The recorded highest after the alert was $24.74 (+138.57% from the stated price).

The bear case

  • The stated $10.37 was −22.22% from where the stock closed the alert minute.
  • The stated price is not a verified fill; real execution can differ.
  • A PT SMASHED post is the analyst’s call, not independent proof of liquidity or of a continuation.

What price did after the alert

The highest price recorded after the alert, through Tue, Nov 10, 8:23 AM ET, was $24.74 in the minute beginning Mon, Nov 9, 1:12 PM ET (regular session), +138.57% from the stated $10.37 and +85.56% from $13.3328, the close of the alert's own minute. A minute bar identifies the minute, not the second of the trade, and trading after Tue, Nov 10, 8:23 AM ET is not included: a later print could still go further.

The lowest price after the alert was $12.83 in the minute beginning Mon, Nov 9, 6:49 AM ET, still +23.72% from the stated price: it never traded through the stated $10.37 afterwards. The stated stop at $10.22 did not trade in the recovered bars.

Targets, checked against the price data: $16.50 (original target) first traded in the minute beginning Mon, Nov 9, 7:04 AM ET; $19.57 (follow-up target 1) first traded in the minute beginning Mon, Nov 9, 12:20 PM ET; $22.08 (follow-up target 2) first traded in the minute beginning Mon, Nov 9, 12:51 PM ET.

Source: Massive aggregates (unadjusted, including premarket and after-hours); 790 one-minute bars after the alert (260 premarket, 382 regular-session, 148 after-hours); no stock split after the alert; prices unadjusted, in the same units as the alert.

The latest quote

Latest available price: $16.06 as of Tue, Nov 10, 8:23 AM ET (close of the latest recorded minute bar). From the stated $10.37, the long price-only result is +54.87%. From $13.3328, the close of the alert's own minute, it is +20.45%.

$1,000 hypothetically placed at the stated price would be about 96.4320 fractional shares, worth $1,548.70 at the latest quote, a price-only change of $548.70 (+54.87%), before fees, taxes, spread, and slippage. No actual fill is confirmed, and the stated price was not where the stock traded in the alert minute.

What the record does and does not prove

A PT SMASHED post is the analyst’s statement that a target was reached and a new one set. The price checks above say whether the recorded trades agree, and when. Neither one is a member’s fill, share size, partial exit or realized return.

The percentages hold the alert’s stated price constant. They do not model whether a reader could have bought at that price, nor spreads, slippage, commissions, taxes, borrow fees or position sizing.

The next checkpoint

The latest target in the sequence, $22.08, has traded: price data shows it in the minute beginning Mon, Nov 9, 12:51 PM ET. Any level beyond it is the analyst’s scenario, not an achieved result.

This is a time-stamped audit as of Tue, Nov 10, 8:23 AM ET. A later quote, a later print or a new post can change the scorecard without changing the original alert.

Kill switch

Any one of these and the thesis is over, no averaging down, no renaming it.

  • The source alert’s stated stop was $10.22.

The call. If the latest alert scenario reaches $22.08, that is the analyst’s stated target being met. The alert’s own invalidation reference was $10.22.

What the record says

The alert stated $10.37; the latest quote is $16.06 (+54.87%) on a price-only basis. The highest recorded after the alert, through Tue, Nov 10, 8:23 AM ET, was $24.74. This is a report of an alert, its follow-ups and the recorded trades, not an audited trade return.

The desk's scenario leans bullish. Bull or bear, the kill switch above is what keeps either view honest.

Sources and further reading: SEC EDGAR filings for CKX · CKX Lands, Inc. investor site · CKX quote, chart and data on StockMarketLoop.

Data as of Nov 10, 8:26 AM ET: options positioning, FINRA short volume, the off-exchange trade record, the structure map, SEC filings and the ticker's headlines. Vaughn McNair (Grandmaster-Obi) and Making Easy Money may hold or trade positions in the names discussed. This is speculation and education, not financial advice.

Author disclosure: educational scenario from the Academy data desk; the author may hold or trade positions in the names discussed. This is not financial advice.
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